International investors don’t appear all that involved
approximately the imminent U.S. Presidential election, in large element due to
the fact polls nevertheless placed Democrat Hillary Clinton as probable to win
the White house.
when you consider that her tax proposals are toward the
popularity quo than party rival Bernie Sanders and Republican candidate Donald
Trump, its understandable that financial markets stay calm.
although a Clinton
administration might also represent the status quo, Steven Wieting, global chief
funding strategist at Citi non-public financial institution, mentioned that
markets will also cognizance on her Congressional guide.
If a huge win by using Clinton
results in both homes of Congress switching from Republican to Democrat, he
believes it can impact industries which include health care, power and finance
in a meaningful manner.
“depending at the polling leading put to November, sector
rotation can also occur if a GOP popularity quo in Congress is keep,” Wieting
wrote in Citi’s mid-year outlook for 2016.
If Trump wins the election, the strategist warned that both
the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields should revel in high ranges of volatility.
He believes this will reflect the capacity for Trump’s protectionist policies
and unfunded deficit spending to be enacted.
“this may offset any effective outcomes from his schedule of
deregulation and lower taxes, which might otherwise gain equities,” Wieting
said.
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